摘要
笔者基于我国东、中、西部1978年～2007年省际面板数据,运用面板单位根检验、协整检验及误差修正模型,对我国三大区域金融发展与其经济增长、产业结构、城市化之间的长期和短期关系进行了比较研究。研究表明三大区域金融发展与其经济增长、产业结构、城市化之间的关系具有明显的区域差异。东部的金融发展,不论在长期还是短期,均能助推其经济增长、产业结构优化升级和城市化进程,但在促进经济增长过程中也带来了通货膨胀的负效应;中西部的金融发展虽然在长期能引导其经济增长、产业结构升级及城市化进程,但短期因果关系并不成立;中部金融塌陷明显,而西部金融发展对城市化的边际贡献最小。
Based on the three regions＇ provincial panel data from 1978 to 2007, applying panel unit root test, co-integration test and error correction model, the authors compared long-term and short-term relationship between financial development and economic growth, industrial structure and urbanization in the three regions. The research shows that the relationship has the following obvious regional differences： eastern financial development, whether in the long term or short term, can boost the economic growth, optimization and upgrading of industrial structure and urbanization, but in the process of promoting economic growth, it also brought about the negative effect of inflation; the financial development in the Midwest can guide the economic growth, the upgrading of industrial structure and urbanization in the long term, but the short-term causality has not been established; financial collapse is obvious in the middle area and the marginal contribution of western financial development on urbanization is the smallest.
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第2期32-36,共5页
Economic Survey
基金
国家自然科学基金(70703038)
全国教育科学规划课题(EFA080248)
关键词
区域差异
金融塌陷
经济增长
面板数据
regional difference
financial collapse
economic growth
panel data
