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中国外商直接投资区位决定:基于“第三方效应”的空间计量分析 被引量:17

Location of Foreign Direct Investment in China:An Spatial Econometrical Analysis based on The "Third-country Effects"
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摘要 目前大多数关于中国FDI区位决定的实证研究都是建立在双边框架上,考虑FDI的类型并从空间效应的角度进行的研究还比较少见。本文在"第三方效应"理论基础上,运用空间面板计量方法对1998~2007年间中国31个省区FDI区位分布的影响因素进行了检验。结果发现,流入中国的FDI以复合垂直型为主导,"第三方效应"显著影响了FDI的地区分布,一个省区所吸引的FDI会受到周边省区FDI流入以及其他不可测因素的影响。庞大的市场规模和便利的交通基础设施都有利于吸引FDI,高工资、低市场化程度和过多政府干预对FDI的进入有显著的负面影响。本文所尝试的人力资本变量与FDI流入之间没有发现统计上显著的联系。 At present,most of the empirical researches on the determinants of FDI in China are usually based on bilateral framework.There are few articles focusing on various forms of FDI behavior and spatial effects.Based on the 'third-country effects' theory,using spatial panel technique and a data set on 31 provinces in China during the period of 1998~2007,the paper examines the effects for determinants of FDI.The results reveal that complex-vertical FDI strategy dominated in China.The 'third-country effects' affected regional FDI distribution.A province′s FDI inflow is affected by neighboring provinces.Large market scale and convenient transportation infrastructure have geat attraction for FDI,while higher wages,excessive governmental interference and lower degree of marketization will deter it.The human resource variable we try is not found to have statistically significant relationships with the level of FDI inflows across provinces.
作者 蒋伟
出处 《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第1期75-80,89,共6页 World Economy Studies
基金 国家社会科学基金重大项目<贯彻落实科学发展观与完善开放型经济体系研究>(编号:07&ZD017)
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