摘要
把农民收入和消费及财政支农和农村金融置于一个框架下进行了考察。基于1978～2008年数据拟合的多变量协整模型较好地反映了我国农村经济的特点,结果表明,农业财政和金融在长期可显著提高农民收入,金融信贷在短期可有效扩大农民消费,并且农村金融体系较好地保证了内源融资的效率;消费方程反映出我国农民消费具有短视性特点,对同期收入过度敏感。
This article raises a framework model including fiscal and financial agriculture support and farmer＇ sincome and consumption to research their relationship. The multiple cointegration system constructed with 1978 - 2008＇ s annual data depicts our present rural economy better. Empirical results demonstrate fiscal and financial agriculture support can significantly improve farmer＇ s income in the long run, and financial support can effectively expand farmer＇ s consumption in the short run ; and rural financial system has kept a good efficiency of endogenic financing. Farmer＇ s consumption behavior has short - sighted features, and will be over - sensitive to current earnings.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第11期77-81,共5页
On Economic Problems
基金
天津市哲学社会科学规划项目(TJTJ10-648)
关键词
农民收入
农民消费
财政支农
农村金融
farmer＇ s income,
farmer＇ s consumption
fiscal agricultural support
rural finance
