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基于统计方法的舰炮对岸作战效能建模与仿真 被引量:1

Modeling and Simulation of Efficiency Evaluation about Fire to Coast of Naval Gun Based on Monte-Carlo Method
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摘要 研究舰炮作战效能优化建模问题,现代舰炮对岸支援作战任务强度高且时效性强,合理规划弹药携带量和适时确定打击目标需发射弹药数优化,影响实施任务完成的关键因素。针对传统的舰炮对岸作战规划和实施主要依据经验所固有的不确定性,为提高最佳匹配效能,减少盲目性,提出了一种统计方法的舰炮对岸作战效能评估仿真模型。模型根据舰炮对岸支援作战的形式和特点,在对真实的舰炮对岸作战过程进行必要和合理简化的基础上,考虑舰艇海上运动、环境和弹丸散布三个影响舰炮对岸射击误差的随机因素,用以确定上述优化关系,从而为制定高效的对岸火力支援作战方案提供参考,最大限度地发挥舰炮武器系统对岸作战效能。仿真证明了方法的有效性和实用性。 Modern fire to coast of naval gun is of high mission intensity and strong aging pressure for fire.Valid plan of ammunition reserves and well-timed determination fire ammunition of attacking targets become the key factors for effectively organizing and implementing missions.Aiming at the inherent uncertainty of traditional planning way of fire to coast of naval gun relied on experiences,an efficiency evaluation model for fire to coast of naval gun is set up based on the method of Monte-Carlo.Accoring to the forms and characteristics of fire to coast of naval gun,and based on the necessary condition simplification for the actual operation procedure,the factors of movement of warship on the sea,surrounding and grouping pattern of hits brought the firing error to naval gun,and were considered to ascertain the optimal relation.The model can offer some reference for efficient program of fire to coast of naval gun and make the blind firing command of commander,and the max-effectiveness of fire to coast of naval gun can be realized.At last,a combat simulation model example was given to illustrate the validation and practicability of evaluating model.
出处 《计算机仿真》 CSCD 北大核心 2011年第10期1-4,273,共5页 Computer Simulation
关键词 舰炮 对岸作战 效能评估 建模 仿真 蒙特卡洛法 Naval gun Fire to coast Operation-effectiveness Modeling Simulation Monte-carlo
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