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中国HCFC-141b排放清单预测 被引量:6

Emission Inventory Prediction of HCFC-141b in China
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摘要 基于IPCC《国家温室气体清单优良作法指南(2006)》建立中国HCFC-141b排放清单,分析计算中国HCFC-141b的排放构成和排放趋势。退役排放构成中国HCFC-141b排放的主要部分,占总排放量的48.7%;在蒙特利尔议定书控制淘汰(MPPS)情景和加速淘汰(APS)情景下,2010—2030年分别累计减排量为7.30万t和7.46万t ODP,相当于47317万t和48381万t CO2-eq温室气体(GHG);在APS情景下,由于淘汰力度加强,在HCFC-141b排放时段内,相比MPPS情景进一步减排3815万t CO2-eq GHG,其中大部分减排量由冷藏保温、热水器保温和板材子源贡献。中国履行《关于消耗臭氧层物质的蒙特利尔议定书》不仅减少了ODS排放,同时也减少了温室气体排放。 Emission inventory of HCFC-141b in China was established based on the IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories(2006).Constitution and trend of HCFC-141b emission was analyzed.The product retire emission,which considered to be the largest part of emission,accounts for 48.7% of the total;under Montreal Protocol Phaseout Schedule(MPPS) and Accelerated Phaseout Schedule(APS) scenarios,total ODP emission reduction would be 7.30×104 tons and 7.46×104 tons ODP and GHG emission reduction would be 4.7317×108 tons and 4.8381×108 tons CO2-eq respectively during 2010-2030;compared to the MPPS scenario,the APS scenario result in additional 3.815×107 tons CO2-eq GHG emission reduction during HCFC-141b emission period and most of the reduction comes from refrigerator,water heater insulation and panel sub-sector.China makes great contribution on global GHGs reduction during the implementation of Montreal Protocol.
出处 《北京大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2011年第5期875-881,共7页 Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis
基金 环保公益性行业科研专项(200709015)资助
关键词 HCFC-141B 排放量 预测 控制情景 温室气体 HCFC-141b emission prediction controlled scenarios green house gas(GHG)
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参考文献11

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