摘要
通过建立广东省城镇居民人均消费性支出的计量经济模型,对影响广东省城镇居民消费增长因素进行实证分析,发现城镇居民实际可支配收入是影响居民消费的最直接、最重要因素。对计量经济模型进行了数学理论推导,并得到模型参数的经济含义及模型拟合误差的放缩效应等结论。最后基于凯恩斯消费理论及面板数据模型,研究广东省不同发展程度的区域收入与支出的关系,发现边际消费倾向与地域发展程度并无明显关系。
Through building the econometric model of per capita consumptive expenditure of urban residents of Guangdong province and making an empirical analysis of the improvement factors of consumption,the paper reveals that the real disposable per capita income has the most direct and significant influence on the per capita consumptive expenditure of urban residents of Guangdong province.Besides,the paper reaches some conclusions about the parameter and the simulation error of the model by giving a theoretical derivation on the econometric model.Finally,according to the consumption function theory of Keynes and the panel data model,the paper reveals that there is no explicit relationship between the marginal propensity to consume and the economic development.
出处
《汕头大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
2011年第4期73-77,96,共5页
Journal of Shantou University(Humanities and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金(10971073)阶段性成果
关键词
广东省
城镇居民
消费增长因素
实证分析
双对数模型
面板数据模型
Guangdong province
urban residents
improvement factors of consumption
empirical analysis
double logarithmic model
panel data model
