摘要
调整收入分配结构、扩大内需成为我国政府当今和未来一段时间经济工作的重中之重。消费需求收入弹性是反映居民消费需求和收入关系的一项重要指标,对其现状及未来趋势的研究具有重要意义。运用ELES模型和GM(1,1)模型对我国农村居民消费需求收入弹性进行分析和预测。研究结果表明,当前该指标整体较高,但未来几年多数子类指标有下降趋势。
Adjusting the structure of income distribution and expanding domestic demand have become a very important task in the economic work of our government at present and in the future.The income elasticity of consumer demand is an important indicator reflecting the relationship between consumer demand and income,so it is of great significance to research its status quo and future trend.The author uses ELES model and GM（1,1） model to analyze and predict the income elasticity of consumer demand in the rural areas of China.The findings show that this indicator is quite large at present,but most sub-categories of the indicators show a declining trend in the future.
出处
《华北水利水电学院学报（社会科学版）》
2011年第4期81-84,共4页
Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
河南省教育厅自然科学基础研究计划项目(2009
2011A110011)
河南省软科学研究计划项目(112400450187)
