摘要
指出了在我国汽车尾气已经成为城市大气污染的重要因素,而电动汽车以其优越的环保性和节能性,代表了21世纪汽车发展的方向。首先对电动汽车的市场推广模式进行了分析,随后引入Lotka-Volterra模型建模,运用MATLAB模拟仿真了电动汽车在今后几十年的发展状况和市场需求,并以北京市为例,预测了今后20年电动汽车的发展趋势。
In our country,the pollution released by automobiles has become an important factor of a city's air pollution.Therefore,Electric Vehicles(EV for short) has become the main stream of the development of cars in the 21st century due to its outstanding performance in environmental protection and resource saving.This paper first analyzes the marketing model of electric vehicles,and then introduces the Lotka-Volterra model for modeling and simulates the development and market demand of EV in the next decades with MATLAB.Finally,to take Beijing as an example,it predicts the development trend of electric vehicles in the next 20 years.
出处
《山西电力》
2011年第4期30-33,共4页
Shanxi Electric Power
关键词
电动汽车
需求
仿真
预测
electric vehicle
demand
simulation
prediction