期刊文献+

对电动汽车发展的仿真预测 被引量:2

Simulation Prediction on the Development of Electric Vehicles
下载PDF
导出
摘要 指出了在我国汽车尾气已经成为城市大气污染的重要因素,而电动汽车以其优越的环保性和节能性,代表了21世纪汽车发展的方向。首先对电动汽车的市场推广模式进行了分析,随后引入Lotka-Volterra模型建模,运用MATLAB模拟仿真了电动汽车在今后几十年的发展状况和市场需求,并以北京市为例,预测了今后20年电动汽车的发展趋势。 In our country,the pollution released by automobiles has become an important factor of a city's air pollution.Therefore,Electric Vehicles(EV for short) has become the main stream of the development of cars in the 21st century due to its outstanding performance in environmental protection and resource saving.This paper first analyzes the marketing model of electric vehicles,and then introduces the Lotka-Volterra model for modeling and simulates the development and market demand of EV in the next decades with MATLAB.Finally,to take Beijing as an example,it predicts the development trend of electric vehicles in the next 20 years.
出处 《山西电力》 2011年第4期30-33,共4页 Shanxi Electric Power
关键词 电动汽车 需求 仿真 预测 electric vehicle demand simulation prediction
  • 相关文献

参考文献7

二级参考文献11

共引文献197

同被引文献35

  • 1罗东晓,郑少芬.天然气汽车的经济性分析[J].煤气与热力,2007,27(3):21-24. 被引量:14
  • 2何明,过秀成.BP神经网络主成分分析法在汽车保有量预测中的应用[J].交通与计算机,2007,25(4):96-99. 被引量:8
  • 3Kemer B S, Klenov S L, Hiller A. Empirical test of a microscopic three-phase traffic theory. Nonlinear Dyn ,2007 ;49:525-553. 被引量:1
  • 4Teng H, Qi Y, Martinelli D R. Developed incident detection algorithm in comparison with neural network algorithms. Transportation Research Record ,2003 ; (1836) :83-92. 被引量:1
  • 5Demir E, Bektas T, Laporte G. A comparative analysis of several ve- hicle emission models for road freight transportation. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2011; 16 (5): 347-357. 被引量:1
  • 6Corsmeier U, Imhof D, Kohler M, et al. Comparison of measured and model-calculated real-world traffic emissions. Atmospheric En- vironment, 2005; 39(31 ):5760-5775. 被引量:1
  • 7Leduc G, Mongelli I, Uihlein A, et al. How can our cars become less polluting? An assessment of the environ- mental improvement potential of cars[J]. Transport Policy, 2010, 17(6): 409-419. 被引量:1
  • 8Dargay J, Gately D. Income's effect on car and vehicle ownership, worldwide: 1960-2015[J]. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 1999, 33(2): 101-138. 被引量:1
  • 9Teng H, Qi Y, Martinelli D R. Developed incident detection algorithm in comparison with neural network algorithms[J]. Transportation Research Record, 2003(1836): 83 92. 被引量:1
  • 10Ou X M, Zhang X L, Chang S Y. Alternative fuel buses currently in use in GHG emissions and policy recommendations[J]. Energy Policy, 2010, 38(1): China: Life-cycle fossil energy use 406-418. 被引量:1

引证文献2

二级引证文献18

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部