摘要
2008年的金融危机导致煤炭大省山西经济增长剧烈下滑,原因在于经济的周期性变化导致煤炭价格波动比一般产品强烈。本文对煤炭价格波动的原因从供求两方面进行了分析,煤炭供求的低价格弹性、经济周期、预期、替代品价格波动、以及成本等因素的影响导致煤炭价格的剧烈波动。在资源型区域,煤炭价格波动导致生产要素集中在煤炭产业,引发"反工业化"现象。基于山西的实证分析验证了煤炭价格的剧烈波动,近年来的数据也显示煤炭价格波动导致山西经济增长波动,并出现了"反工业化"现象,拉大了收入差距。
The economic growth of Shanxi province droped tempestuously in the financial crisis of 2008, and the main reason is that coal price fluctuated fiercely than nomoral products in the economic cycle. This paper analysed why coal price fluctuatd fiercely. The factors, which include low price elasticity of coal supply and demand, economic cycle, expectation, fluctuation of substitute price, and costs, lead to the fierce fluctuation of coal price. In th resource - rich area, the fluctuation of coal price centralized the factors of production in the coal industry, and caused de - industrialization. The empirical study of Shanxi tested the fierce fluctua- tion of coal price. The fluctuation of coal price caused the fluctuation of economic growth of Shanxi. The de - industrialization appeared in Shanxi, and the income gap turned to be bigger.
出处
《产经评论》
2011年第4期141-152,共12页
Industrial Economic Review
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目"资源型区域破解经济发展与环境约束难题对策研究"(批准号10AJL009)的阶段性成果
关键词
煤炭价格
波动
价格弹性
山西省
coal price
fluctuation
price elasticity
Shanxi province
