摘要
东亚区域经济的合作与发展存在"锚货币"选择的问题。经济谐动指数分析表明,东亚适宜采用"内部锚",而不宜采用外部"锚货币",美元作为域外货币不适宜作为东亚区域合作的"锚货币"。日元国际化程度不高,加上日本经济不景气等原因,使得日元难以发挥东亚"锚货币"的作用。而人民币尽管暂时还不能充当东亚的区域主导货币,但中国经济与东亚地区其他经济体经济高度关联并已成为东亚各经济体经济增长的重要动力,中国对东亚其他经济体的竞争压力也要大于日本和美国,同时,随着中国汇率制度的逐步改革,人民币在东亚区域内的公信力不断提高。因此,人民币是东亚区域合作中最有潜力的"锚货币"。
The cooperation and development of regional economy in East Asia raises a question of selection of ＂Fiat Money＂. Economic harmonic movement index analysis indicates that East Asia should use inner fiat money and should not use Fiat Money, that US dollar, as a currency outside East Asia, should not be used as Fiat Money in regional cooperation in East Asia, that because the internationalized level of Japanese Yen is not high, furthermore, Japanese economy is in recession, etc. , Japanese Yen is difficult to play Fiat Money role in East Asia, however, although Renminbi can not be regional main currency in East Asia temporarily, high correlation between Chinese economy and each economic entity in East Asia region has become important power of economic growth in each economic entity of East Asia and that the competitive pressure of China on other economic entities in East Asia is bigger than Japan and the United States, meanwhile, with gradual reform of Chinese currency exchange system, the accountability of Renminbi in East Asia region is continuously increasing. Thus, Renminbi is the most potential Fiat Money in regional cooperation of East Asia.
出处
《西部论坛》
2011年第4期46-50,共5页
West Forum
关键词
东亚区域合作
锚货币
人民币
美元
日元
内部锚
汇率制度
经济谐动指数
竞争压力指数
贸易关联度
regional cooperation of East Asia
Fiat Money
Renminbi
US dollar
Japanese Yen
inner fiat money
currency exchangesystem
economic harmonic movement index
competitive pressure index
trade correlation
