摘要
文章运用完全分解模型对经济增长中的能源反弹效应进行分解分析,并运用上海1978-2009年间的数据进行实证研究。结果表明:无论是技术效应还是结构效应,影响能源消费量增长的主要因素是规模效应,并且其作用远远大于能源效率提高所带来的能源消费量减少的影响,这使得经济增长中出现了能源效率提高而能源消费量反而持续上升的反弹现象。要弱化甚至消除反弹效应,一方面要进一步优化产业结构,但更为重要的是进行总量控制。
This paper uses the complete decomposition model to analyze the muhifactor of energy consumption＇s rebound effect based on the energy consumption data of Shanghai from 1978-2009. The result indicates that the scale effect is the most important factor to increase energy consumption and its effect is stronger than the function of intensity effect to reduce the energy con- sumption.So we can find out that although the energy intensity decreases, total energy consumption increases. In order to decrease energy consumption, we should optimize industrial structure, and the more important thing is controlling economic scale.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2011年第9期1-7,共7页
East China Economic Management
关键词
反弹效应
完全分解
技术效应
结构效应
规模效应
rebound effect
complete decomposition
technical effect
structure effect
scale effect
