摘要
依据2009年《中国统计年鉴》和《中国农村统计年鉴》相关数据,选取工资性收入、家庭经营纯收入、转移性和财产性收入、支援农村生产支出等7个指标,运用灰色关联理论对我国"八五""九五"和"十五"期间农民纯收入与各项收入、国家财政支农总支出与各项财政支农支出与农民纯收入与各项财政支农支出的灰色关联度变迁情况进行分析与评价。结果表明,各时期与家庭经营纯收入的灰色关联度呈现下降的态势;从总体上看,国家财政支农总支出与农业基本建设支出及支援农村生产支出的灰色关联度有下降的趋势,财政支农总支出与农业科技3项费用和农村救济费的灰色关联度呈现上升的趋势;支援农村生产支出对农民收入的影响程度呈现出下降趋势,农业基本建设支出对农民收入的影响程度表现出增强的趋势,救济费在促进农民增收中的积极作用有待进一步增强,农民收入的增长对农业科学技术的依赖性呈现出增强的态势。最后提出了建立稳定的财政支农资金增长机制、坚持对财政支农资金结构实行动态调整等相关政策建议。
According to the relevant data ol China Statistical Yearbook and Chlnese Rurat Statlsticai Yearbook m the year of 2009, me changes of grey correlation degree of farmers＇ net income, various items of incomes, national gross agricuhure-supporting expenditure and various items of expenditures, farmers＇ net income and various items of fiscal agricuhure-supporting expenditure in the eighth Five-year Plan, ninth Five-year Plan and tenth Five-year Plan by using grey correlation degree and the by choosing seven indicators covering income from wage and salary, in- come from household business, transfer income and property income, agricultural production-supporting expenditure, agricultural basic construc- tion expenditure ,expenses of three items of agricultural technology and the fee of rural relief. The results show that the grey correlation degree of each time period and household net income shows the downward trend ; from overall perspective, the grey correlation degree of national gross agri- culture-supporting expenditure, agricultural basic construction expenditure and agricultural production-supporting expenditure shows the descend- ing trend ; the grey correlation degree of fiscal agricultural supporting expenditure and the expenditure of three items of agricultural technology and fee of rural relief show the upward trend; the influence of agricultural production-supporting expenditure on farmers＇ income shows downward trend ; the influence of agricultural basic construction on farmers＇ income shows upward trend ; the fee of rural relief plays an active role in the promoting the farmers＇ ＆ncome increase ; the role played by fee of rural relief in promoting farmers＇ income increase should be further increased ; the increase of farmers＇ income shows great reliance on agricultural science and technology. In the end, the relevant suggestions on establishing stable increase mechanism of fiscal agricultural support and insisting on the dynamic adjustment of the structure of fiscal agricultural supportin
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
北大核心
2011年第18期11300-11302,11329,共4页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金
教育部2007年"春晖计划"项目(S2007-1-3005)
重庆市教育委员会2009年人文社会科学重点项目(09skm17)
