摘要
以多级协同项目的计划管理为背景,对于多级协同项目计划编制方法进行研究。研究多级协同项目计划编制模式,描述复杂工程项目计划的分层定义,以满足多级协同项目对复杂的计划编制的特殊要求。提出一种可支持计划编制的项目过程建模和仿真方法,该方法基于随机网络技术,能够针对多级协同项目复杂的过程关系建立过程模型,并进行基于不同风险值的项目仿真,得到项目工期值的概率统计分布情况,从而得到项目在不同完工风险下的工期预测值。仿真的结果应用于计划编制,使项目管理者更全面了解计划编制的合理性。
The method of multi-level collaborative project planning is studied on the background of multi-level collaborative project plan management.The multi-level collaborate project planning mode is studied and a hierarchical definition describing complex engineering project planning is given in order to meet the special requirements of the complex project planning issue in multi-level collaborative projects.A method of project process modeling and simulation,which supports project planning,is proposed.Based on the stochastic network technology,process models can be built for describing the complex process relationship of multi-level collaborative project.Furthermore,project simulation based on various risk values is executed to obtain the probability statistical distribution of the project duration value,thereby obtaining the duration forecast value of project under different completion risks.The simulation result can be applied to the project planning to show the overall planning reasonability to the project manager.
出处
《机械工程学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第10期152-156,163,共6页
Journal of Mechanical Engineering
基金
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划
2006AA04Z155)
北京市教育委员会共建资助项目
关键词
项目管理
计划编制
项目过程建模
过程仿真
Project management Planning Project process modeling Process simulation
