摘要
收费公路类似自然生命,其成长和发展必然为一个具有若干阶段的连续过程。基于生命周期理论,对我国收费公路生命周期进行了深入探讨和分析。结果表明,2000年以后,我国收费公路进入成熟期;在2030年达到峰值后,收费公路在总量上开始缩减,进入衰退期,新的发展趋势也将逐渐体现。
Toll road is similar to nature life,and it has its own some stages and continuous process in growing and developing. Basing on life cycle theory,the life cycle of toll road in our country was discussed. The results shown that the toll road had come into the mature period after the year 2000,when reach peak on year 2030,it would decrease on the total amount and come into decline period. Then the new development trend would also appear gradually.
出处
《现代交通技术》
2011年第2期65-66,83,共3页
Modern Transportation Technology
基金
河南省政府决策研究招标课题(项目编号:22)