摘要
运用空间面板模型,选取中国31个省、市、区1999-2007年国内旅游与入境旅游的影响因素的面板数据构建不同的计量模型,实证结果表明,我国省际旅游业与其影响因素的作用关系的空间效应为一种趋同效应。当地经济发展水平对旅游业的发展存在最显著的正影响,旅游交通状况的改善、旅游接待设施的完善也有利于当地旅游业的发展,城镇居民收入水平的提高对当地国内旅游的发展存在显著的促进作用,但农村居民家庭人均纯收入以及旅游资源禀赋对我国旅游业的影响并不显著。
Based on spatial econometrics,this paper build different models of Domestic tourism and inbound tourism with the panel data of the 31 provinces in Chnia from 1999 to 2007.The results show that,the spatial effect between Inter-provincial tourism industry in China and its influence factors is a kind of convergence effect.The level of local economic development has the most significant positive impact for China＇s tourism industry＇s development.The improvement of the tourist traffic,the perfecting of tourist reception facilities are also conducive to the development of local tourism.And the increasing of the urban residents＇ income plays a significant role in promoting the development of domestic tourism.However,the tourism resources endowment and net income of rural households don＇t significantly affecte China＇s tourism industry.
出处
《旅游论坛》
CSSCI
2011年第2期41-46,58,共7页
Tourism Forum
基金
国家旅游局2009年规划项目"我国省际旅游业发展与经济增长研究--基于异质面板和空间计量方法"(09TAAG013)
关键词
旅游业
空间面板模型
影响因素
tourism
spatial panel models
influence factors
