摘要
本文摘取1997～2008年的最新样本数据,就鲍莫尔—富克斯假说提出的服务业就业份额增长的影响因素,对我国31个省市区进行了实证检验。从计量分析结果来看,我国大部分省市区服务业就业增长状况符合鲍莫尔—富克斯假说的基本观点,但是,省市区之间存在较大的差异性:北京等16个省市区服务业就业增长主要是由于服务业劳动生产率增长滞后造成的,但地区人均收入增长的影响不显著;辽宁等3个省区服务业就业增长主要是由于地区人均收入增长造成的,但服务业劳动生产率增长滞后的影响不显著;黑龙江、广西等5个省市区的人均收入增长和服务业劳动生产率增长滞后对服务业就业增长则均产生了显著影响。我国31个省市区服务需求的收入弹性和价格弹性虽然分属三种不同的组合,但是其产生的宏观经济效应却是相同的,即服务占GDP比重都将随收入水平的提高而上升。
The paper carries through demonstration test of 31 provinces about Baumol-Fuchs l-lypothesls with the swatch data of 1997 -2008. The measure analysis result shows that serving sndustry worker growth status accord with the basic viewpoints of Baumol-Fuchs Hypothesis, but there are bigger difference among the provinces, serving industry worker growth in sixteen provinces such as Beijing is becatise its labor productivity growth lag, but income growth growth infection is not prominent. The worker growth in three provinces such as Liaoning is because its income , but labor productivity lag is not prominent. The worker growth in five provinces such as Hei-longjiang is because both of its income growth and labor productivity growth lag is prominent. The income elasticity and price elasticity of service demand in 31 provinces belong to three different combinations, but their macro-eco-nomic result is same, namely the serving industry proportion in GDP rises with the income level boost.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第6期36-42,共7页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
关键词
鲍莫尔-富克斯假说
服务业
区域差异
需求弹性
Baumol-Fuchs Hypothesis
serving industry
regional difference
demand elasticity
