摘要
本文运用协整理论与向量误差修正模型,对中国1983~2008年的生产者服务业FDI与技术进步的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明,无论是流量还是存量,生产者服务业FDI与技术进步之间均存在长期稳定的均衡关系;生产者服务业FDI存量与技术进步互为格兰杰原因,生产者服务业FDI流量是技术进步的格兰杰原因,但技术进步不是生产者服务业FDI流量的格兰杰原因;VECM显示,从短期来看,二者之间的关系由短期偏离向长期均衡调整的速度很快,生产者服务业FDI的短期波动对我国技术进步的影响非常显著。
In accordance with the theory of co-integration and the error correction model,this paper discusses the relationship between FDI in producer services and technological progress in China based on the data from 1983 to 2008.The result shows that there exists a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between them,and there is a two-way causality between the stock of FDI in producer services and technological progress,but a unidirectional causality from the flow of FDI in producer services to technological progress.VEC model shows that in the short-run,the speed of the correction is very quick from the short fluctuation to long-term equilibrium,and the effect of the fluctuation of FDI in producer services on technological progress fluctuation is significant.
出处
《上海经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第3期35-44,共10页
Shanghai Journal of Economics
