摘要
产业关联变动趋势是反映国民经济各部门内在经济联系变化规律的重要指标,认清产业关联的变化轨迹对于产业转型政策的制定具有重要意义。用影响力系数、感应度系数和部门产出比重相叠加,构建波及能力指数和感应能力指数,并利用这两个指数和《1987—2007年河南省投入产出表》,分析河南省产业关联变化的趋势。结果发现:1987—2007年间河南省的循环累计增长部门以传统产业和资源密集型产业为主,推进产业转型的同时并不能完全放弃传统产业和资源密集型产业的优势;基础能源产业对河南省经济发展的影响和制约作用在逐渐增加;生产服务业和高技术产业发展相对滞后,但有明显的增长趋势。
The trend of the industrial linkage changes is an important indicator which reflects the changes of the internal economic links between national economic sectors, and recognizing the trajectory of the industrial linkage changes will make important sense to the formulation of industry restructuring policies. With the overlay of the influence coefficient, the sensitivity coefficient and the proportion of sector output, we build spreading capability index and sensing capability index, and analyze the trend how the intrinsic link between industrial sectors in Henan Province changes with the two indices and the ＂input-output table of Henan Province 1987-2007＂. It’s found that the traditional industries sector and resource-intensive industries are main sectors of Henan Province with accumulated growth from the year 1987 to 2007, we can not completely abandon the dominant traditional industries sector and resource-intensive industry while promoting industrial restructuring; meanwhile, the influence and restriction that basic energy industry have on the economic development of Henan Province have been gradually increasing; production services and high-tech industries have lagged behind, but there are obvious growth trend.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第12期2037-2043,2049,共8页
Economic Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(编号:06BJL063)
河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(编号:2006DJJ023)联合资助
关键词
产业关联
投入—产出表
波及能力指数
感应能力指数
河南省
industrial linkage
input-output table
influence capacity index
induction capacity index
Henan
