摘要
选取黄河—陇海—兰新线7省区,以1978～2007年入境旅游客流量为指标,分析了入境旅游业发展的时间同步性及区域响应。结果显示:1978～2007年,黄河—陇海—兰新线7省区入境旅游发展具有较高的同步性,1978～1989年为快速起步期,1990～1999年稳定增长,2000～2007年持续高速增长;旅游增长率变化"五起四型。然而,由于政策推进、旅游投资、资源禀赋、交通区位等因素的差异,各省区入境旅游的发展具有不同的区域响应。文章分三个时段,分别统计了1978～1989年、1990～1999年和2000～2007年各省区入境旅游的基期值、增长倍数和平均增长率,依据各阶段基期值和平均增长率的大小,划分出入境旅游发展的地区差异和响应类型,为从动态过程认识我国旅游业发展的时间同步性和区域响应提供了新的方法。
Select Yellow River-Longhai-Lanxin Line 7 provinces and autonomous regions to domestic Tourism 1978-2007 traffic as an index of the domestic tourism industry of the time synchronization and regional response.The results showed： 1978-2007,the Yellow River-Longhai-Lanxin 7 provinces with high development of domestic tourism synchronous,1978-1989 for the rapid start of years of stability from 1990-1999,1999-2007 years of sustained growth in 2000 to growth;tourism growth rate of change in ＂five from four down＂,change curve ＂with the rise with the fall＂;and growth based on the correlation coefficient between the trend line,the Yellow River-Longhai-lanxin Line 7 divided into 3 types provinces.However,due to the policy to promote tourism investment,natural resources,transportation and other factors,differences in location,the development of domestic tourism provinces and autonomous regions have different regional response,the paper points three times,respectively,the 1978-1989 statistical year and from 1990-1999 provinces and regions 2000-2007 base period value of domestic tourism,growth factor and the average growth rate,according to various stages of the base value and the average growth rate of the size of the immigration division of tourism development in regional differences and response type.The dynamic process of understanding from the time synchronization of tourism development and regional response to provide a new approach.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2010年第12期91-94,99,共5页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(07BJY138)
关键词
入境旅游
时间同步性
区域响应
相关性
domestic tourism
time synchronization
regional response
Yellow River-Longhai-Lanxin Line
