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中美贸易失衡、产业分工与美国失业率 被引量:14

Sino-US Trade Imbalance,Industrial Division and US Unemployment Rates
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摘要 中美贸易逆差仅占美国对外贸易逆差的一小部分。传统贸易理论错误地把贸易差额与就业机会损益直接联系起来,降低了人们的正确判断力。本文认为,国际产业分工决定国际就业结构和国际贸易,而不是国际贸易决定国际就业。贸易盈余未必能创造就业,贸易赤字也不会损毁任何人的工作机会。中美贸易失衡没有给美国就业造成不利影响,不是造成美国失业的直接因素。除危机时期之外,美国失业率基本保持较低水平。美国自身金融或经济危机是造成美国失业率攀升的主要因素。中美经济互补与经贸结构性失衡给美国创造了更多的就业机会。 Sino-US trade deficit accounts for only a little part of US foreign trade deficit.Traditional trade theory had made mistakes to directly connect trade deficit with jobs opportunities,which have damaged one's correct judgments.It is international industrial division that determines international employment structure and international trade,rather than that international trade determines international employment.International trade surplus does not create jobs,while trade deficit does not damage anyone's jobs opportunities either.Sino-US trade imbalance does not make negative impact on US employments and is not the direct factor that leads to US unemployment.US unemployment rates remain rather low,except during economic crises.Economic and financial crises are major factors that increase US unemployment rates.Sino-US complements in economy as well as imbalance of investment structural create more US jobs opportunities.
作者 夏先良
出处 《财贸经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第11期82-87,共6页 Finance & Trade Economics
关键词 中美贸易失衡 国际产业分工 失业率 美国 就业机会 国际贸易 对外贸易逆差 中美贸易逆差 Sino-US Trade Imbalance,US Employment,Trade Deficit,Unemployment Rate
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