摘要
通过分析石油安全的影响因素,分短期和长期分别建立了石油安全评价指标体系。运用层次分析法评估了中国不同阶段的石油安全,其结果表明:石油市场(短期)安全随着价格变化而不断波动;石油战略(长期)安全随着我国石油消费量的不断上升,石油安全状况呈现下降趋势。
Based on analyzing the factors affecting oil security,this paper established the oil market(short-time) security evaluation index system and the oil strategic(long-time)security evaluation index system.AHP was employed to evaluate different stages of China's oil security,and the results show that oil market(short-time) security fluctuates according to the oil price.As China's oil consumption is rising,the safety of the oil shows a downward trend.
出处
《地球学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第5期686-692,共7页
Acta Geoscientica Sinica
基金
地质调查项目(编号:N0702)
国家开发银行研究项目(编号:YWF0906)联合资助
关键词
石油安全
层次分析法
趋势分析
oil security
Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)
trend analysis