摘要
通过利用广西1978～2008年的统计数据资料,对广西第三产业的发展与就业的增长进行了协整研究。结果显示,它们之间存在着长期均衡关系,第三产业GDP每增长1%,长期来看将带动广西第三产业就业增加1.5042%。文章还利用误差修正模型,分析了广西第三产业发展与其就业量之间的短期波动及其调整机制。
We did an empirical research on tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi according to the co integration theory,using the annual data from 1978 to 2008.We found that there was long-term equilibrium relationship between tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi;in the long-term,employment in Guangxi goes up by 1.5042% as GDP increases 1%.We also used the error correction model to investigate the shot-term fluctuation and its adjusting mechanism between tertiary industry development and employment growth of Guangxi.
出处
《广西经济管理干部学院学报》
2010年第4期72-76,共5页
Journal of GuangXi Cadres College of Economic and Management
关键词
第三产业
就业效应
协整
误差修正模型
tertiary industry
employment effects
co integration
error correction model
