摘要
从科学文献年度数量增长的动态分布,来研究一个学科的发展情况,可以大致了解这个学科发展的特点和规律。通过对近二十年图书馆学产出期刊论文的统计,结合文献数量增长的机理分析,采用数学与统计的方法,对文献增长的动态分布进行测度,探索科学文献增长受客观因素影响的关系。总结得出我国图书馆学研究近二十年的发展规律,确定了文献增长的动态分布范围,文献量约3～5年翻一番。
The characteristics and disciplines of subject＇s development can be concluded from researching the subject based on the annual growth trend and dynamic distribution of scientific literature.By calculating the journals of recent 20 years,combining with mechanism analysis of literature growth,using mathematical and statistical methods,as well as measuring the dynamic distribution of literature growth,the exploration of the influence over literature growth by objective factors can be achieved.The distribution region of literature growth can be determined by summarizing the developing regulation of library research in recent 20 years.Literature is about 3～5 years to double.
出处
《现代情报》
CSSCI
2010年第8期32-35,共4页
Journal of Modern Information
关键词
图书馆学
文献
发文量
统计分析
趋势
拟合
方程
分布区域
library science
literature
the quantity of published articles
statistic and analysis
trend
fitting
function
distribution area
