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基于改进的旅游生态足迹模型对山东省泰安市旅游地评价及预测 被引量:4

Evaluation and Forecast of Tourism Based on Improved Model of Ecological Footprint of Tourism in Tai'an City,Shandong Province
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摘要 根据泰安市的实际旅游情况,基于旅游生态足迹模型,结合遥感数据,将模型进行改进,以克服生态足迹静态性的缺点。采用时间序列的方法,计算出泰安市2001—2007年的旅游地生态足迹与生态承载力,得到生态可持续性结果(生态赤字/生态盈余),即泰安市的旅游地从2006年就开始出现生态赤字。根据旅游地生态赤字/生态盈余的拟合方程,预测未来5年泰安市旅游地依然处于不可持续发展状态,并且可持续性在逐年递减。 According to the actual traveling status of Tai'an City, based on the model of tourism ecological footprint, which has been improved and overcome the shortcoming of static nature of ecological footprint, this paper calculates the ecological footprint of tourism and ecological carrying capacity of Tai' an City from 2001 to 2007 by using time series method, obtaining the ecological sustainability of Tai ' an City (ecological deficit/ecological surplus ). The results show that ecological deficit appeared in sightseeing spots of the city in 2006. The paper predicts the tendency of ecological sustainability of the sightseeing spots in five years, based on tourist ecological deficit/surplus ecological fitting equation from the data generated, which shows that the sightseeing spots of Tai' an City will remain in a state of unsustainable development in the next five years, and sustainability will diminishes year by year.
出处 《国土资源科技管理》 2010年第4期72-81,共10页 Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources
基金 山东省科技厅项目--山东省城市生态旅游可持续发展评价研究(2007RKB202)
关键词 旅游生态足迹 生态赤字 生态可持续性 旅游地评价 泰安市 tourism ecological footprint ecological deficit ecological sustainability evaluation of singhtseeing spot Tai' an City
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