摘要
现阶段中国经济增长的态势是增长速度活跃、结构转变迅速、矛盾尖锐、困难突出。从短期看,经济增长面临总量失衡的矛盾,这种矛盾可能会表现为滞胀;从中长期看,经济增长面临深层次的结构性矛盾,表现为内需和外需的失衡、投资需求和消费需求的失衡、国民收入分配和经济增长之间的矛盾、经济发展和社会发展的失衡、现代服务业发展滞后于工业制造业发展等。解决这些矛盾和问题,需要客观审视已有的宏观经济政策并对未来政策的走向进行调整,这些政策包括总量政策、财政政策、货币政策和汇率政策。
The trend of present Chinese economic growth is reflected as active growth speed,fast structure transformation,sharp contradictions,and obvious difficulties.In the short term,the economic growth is faced with the contradiction of unbalanced aggregate,which is manifested as stagflation.In the medium and long term,the economic growth is confronted with deep-leveled structural contradictions,which are showed as unbalance of domestic and foreign demand,unbalance of investment and consumption demand,contradiction between income distribution and economic growth,unbalance of economic and social development,as well as lagged development of modern service industry compared with manufacturing.To remove these contradictions and problems requires objectively surveying the existing macro economic policies and wisely adjusting the trend of future policies,which include aggregate policies,financial policies,monetary policies,and policies of exchange rate.
出处
《理论学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第7期4-7,共4页
Theory Journal
关键词
经济增长
滞胀
结构性矛盾
宏观经济政策
economic growth
stagflation
structural contradiction
macro economic policies