摘要
为了研究中国电力消费与经济增长之间是否具有长期稳定均衡关系,文章采用恩格尔—格兰杰(E-G)的协整检验方法,分析1980—2009年间中国电力消费与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明:我国电力消费与国民经济增长之间存在协整关系,在此基础上建立了向量误差修正模型,强化了用电力消费对GDP预测的准确性。
In order to study whether or not there exist long-term stable equilibrium relationship between China＇s electricity consumption and economic growth,the paper adopted method of cointegration test built by Engle-Granger（E-G） to analyze the relationship between China＇s electric power consumption and economic growth during the period from 1980 to 2009.The result showed that there was co-integration relationship between China＇s electric power consumption and economic growth.And then the paper established the vector error correction model,which would strengthen the accuracy of using the power consumption to forecast GDP.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2010年第8期66-68,共3页
East China Economic Management
基金
上海市教委重点学科建设项目(J50504)
关键词
电力消费
经济增长
协整检验
向量误差修正模型
electricity consumption
economic growth
co-integraton test
vector error correction model
