摘要
针对技术引进与技术进步关系结论的不一致,本文运用Granger因果关系检验法,选取1999—2008年工业统计数据从定量角度检验技术引进与技术进步两者之间的关系,结果表明技术引进不是技术进步的直接原因,技术进步对技术引进有促进作用;运用Engle-Granger协整关系检验法实证检验,得出技术引进与我国工业技术进步之间没有长期共同发展趋势的结论。技术进步刺激国家引进技术,就长期发展而言,应该主要依靠自主创新提高技术进步。
For the inconsistent conclusion between technology introduction and technology progress,this paper selects the data of industry statistics from 1999 to 2008,and proves that technology introduction is not a direct cause of technological progress by using Granger causal relationship test in our country,and technological progress is the reason for technology introduction.There is no mutual growth trend in the long run between technology introduction and technology progress by using Engle-Granger cointegration test.Therefore,technology progress stimulus technology introduction,in the long-term point of development,independent innovation is important to the improvment of technological progress.
出处
《技术经济》
2010年第4期17-21,62,共6页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
中国博士后基金项目"汽车产业创新过程中生产性服务业介入能力及组织绩效研究--基于产业创新网络的视角"(20090451253)
关键词
技术引进
技术进步
因子分析法
因果关系
协整关系
technology introduction
technology progress
factor analysis
Granger
Engle-Granger
