摘要
文章基于向量自回归模型,从安徽省历年的统计数据出发,通过对农民收入与农村金融规模、效率、结构等因素的分析,探讨它们之间的关系。实证结果表明:农民收入与农村金融规模和农村金融效率呈负相关关系,农民收入与农村金融结构呈正相关关系,同时格兰杰因果检验结果表明农民收入与其他几个因素之间并无因果关系。在此基础上,分析其可能原因,并提出相应的对策建议。
The relation among peasant income and the scale, efficiency, structure of rural finance is discussed after they are analyzed with statistical data of Anhui province from 1986 to 2006 based on VAR model. The empirical result shows that： there is negative correlation among peasant income and the scale, efficiency of rural finance , on the other hand , there is positive correlation between peasant income and the structure of rural finance ; the result of Granger Causality Tests shows there is no cause - and - effect among peasant income and the scale, efficiency, and structure of rural finance. The probable causes are analyzed and consequent countermeasures and suggestions are proposed on the basis of above discussion.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2010年第4期16-19,129,共5页
East China Economic Management
基金
安徽农业大学2008年度繁荣发展哲学社会科学基金
