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供需不平衡日益凸显 炼油毛利继续下滑——2009年全球炼油行业供需及毛利分析

Increasingly apparent supply and demand disequilibrium, gross profits of oil refineries continue to slide——An analysis of supply and demand and gross profits for the world oil refining industry, 2009
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摘要 2009年,受金融危机和经济衰退的影响,全球石油需求量估计比2008年下降了150万桶/日;而炼油能力增长了160万桶/日以上;炼油能力过剩状况更加严重,导致炼油装置利用率连续第四年下降。全球主要油品的需求总量继续下降至7317万桶/日,同比减少1.75%;油品供应总量为7627万桶/日,下降1.0%,全球油品供需不平衡的态势日益凸显。由于馏分油库存趋于饱和,加之需求疲软,导致2009年炼油毛利继续走低。低硫和超低硫已成为未来清洁油品的发展趋势。 In 2009, as a result of the financial crisis and economic slowdown, global oil demand fell by 1.5 million barrels a day as compared to 2008, but refining capacity grew by 1.6 million barrels a day. Excess refining capacity increased dramatically, and the rate of use of oil refining facilities fell for the fourth consecutive year. Global demand for major oil products continued to fall to 73.17 million barrels per day, a fall of 1.75%. Supply for oil products was 76.27 million barrels a day, which was a fall of 1.0%. The disequilibrium between global oil supply and demand was becoming more and more apparent. As stores of distillate oil products were tending towards capacity and demand remained sluggish, gross profits for oil refining in 2009 continued to fall. Low sulphur and super low sulphur products have already become the development trend for future clean oil products.
作者 徐海丰
出处 《国际石油经济》 2010年第2期48-52,共5页 International Petroleum Economics
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