摘要
本文通过对北京市区县人大代表选举的一项调查数据分析,发现人大代表与选民的互动将会显著地影响到选民投票的积极型动机比例。因此,应当有制度保障来确保人大代表与选民之间的互动,以便提高选民的参选热情,使社会主义民主制度更趋完善。在方法上,本文揭示了在根据观察数据进行因果推论时普遍存在的"隐性偏误"问题,并介绍了一种解决办法,即基于"倾向得分"而进行的配对方法。
By analysing an survey data on voting deputies of for County People's Congress,we find that Interactions between representatives and voters have great influence on voting behavior of voters.The institutional arragement of assuring the interaction between representatives and voters is crutial.In methodology,hidden bias often cause misleading conclusion in causal deductions;the matching method based on propensity score is an ideal solution to this problem.
出处
《甘肃行政学院学报》
2010年第1期78-82,共5页
Journal of Gansu Administration Institute
基金
"北京市选民选举心态和参与行为再研究"为北京市社会科学院重点课题
课题负责人为雷弢研究员
关键词
选举制度
参选动机
隐性偏误
倾向得分
Voting Institution
Voting Motivation
Hidden Bias
Propensity Score
