摘要
对于中国的高速经济增长并没有带来相应的就业增长这样一个经验事实,存在奥肯定律是否有效的问题。我们通过研究认为,单纯验证奥肯定律并不能得出其是否有效的结论。放松其他条件不变的假定,加入其他影响因素的检验结果显示,经济增长与失业率虽然呈现总体上的负向关系,但是经济增长与就业人数增长率也呈现出负向关系,这表明奥肯定律在中国是失效的。因此,我们认为之所以高速的经济增长不能带来持续的就业增长的原因可能是,劳动密集型产业的收入分配中表现出资本密集型产业的特征,而资本密集型产业的收入分配中表现出劳动密集型产业的特征。
For China＇ s rapid economic growth has not brought a corresponding increase in employment such an empirical fact, there is the question the validity of Okum＇ s Law. Through research in our view, simply verify that Okun＇ s law does not draw its conclusions are valid in China. Relax the assumption that other conditions remain unchanged by adding other influences of the test results show that although the economic growth and the unemployment rate showed the negative overall relationship, but economic growth and employment growth have also shown a negative relationship, which affirmed the Okun＇ s Law in China is not effective. On this basis, we beheve that the reason for high economic growth can lead to continued job growth may be due to labor- intensive industries to demonstrate the characteristics of capital- intensive indnstries and capital- intensive industries to demonstrate the character of labor- intensive industries.
出处
《财经科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第1期56-61,共6页
Finance & Economics
基金
国家社科基金项目<完善国家宏观调控体系与保持经济平稳较快发展>(项目批准号:06&ZD028)
国家社科基金青年项目<中国农业剩余劳动力估算:理论与实证>(项目批准号:07CJL018)资助
关键词
奥肯定律
经济增长
就业
Okun＇ s Law
Economic Growth
Employment
