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运用灰色动态模型对我国电力需求的预测 被引量:6

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摘要 文章以我国用电量的历史数据(2000-2008年)为样本,根据灰色动态预测模型GM(1,1)的建模方法,建立了我国电力需求的预测模型。经过相对误差和后验残差检验,模型的精度是一级(优)。文章还运用该模型预测了中国未来3年的电力需求,并提出了相关政策建议。
出处 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2009年第23期47-49,共3页 Statistics & Decision
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