摘要
假设舰艇舱室内火灾蔓延按照发生燃烧的物品引燃次序进行,将舰艇舱室内可燃物燃烧分成若干种不同的燃烧状态,采用时间连续状态离散的Marcov模型,先后计算舰艇舱室火灾蔓延的转移概率速率函数和转移概率函数,得到不同时间下各种燃烧状态的概率分布,从而得到舰艇舱室火灾最大风险来临时间。此半经验的理论模型,可以用于舰艇火灾风险预测。
Supposing that fire spreads in the order bin, combustion can be divided into some states. whose state is discrete can be used to compute the fer probability function so as to obtain probability time when fire risk is the maximum in ship＇s cab model, which can be used for predicting fire risk. of ignition of combustible goods used in ship＇s caThe Marcov model whose time is continuous and transfer probability velocity function and the transat different combustion states. Thus, the critical in can be found. The model is a semi-experiment
出处
《海军工程大学学报》
CAS
北大核心
2009年第5期88-91,共4页
Journal of Naval University of Engineering
