摘要
本文提出了将非线性的维尔赫斯特（Ｖｅｒｈｕｌｓｔ）模型与线性的ＧＭ（１，１）残差分析模型结合起来的一种新的综合模型。该综合模型兼具有以上两种模型的优点。它将非线性与不断修正性有机结合起来。通过对山西临汾市地下水动态分析，发现运用综合模型具有较高的精确度。
This paper puts forward a new comprehensive model,which unites non-linear Verhulst model with linear-residual model(GM(1,1)-E).This comprehensive model has advantages of Verhulst model and GM(1,1)-E model,and it combines the non-linear character with constant correction.By analyzing groundwater regime of Linfen city,it is discovered that the result of the comprehensive model is quite precise.So it is a good method of prediction.
出处
《中国煤田地质》
1998年第3期39-41,共3页
Coal Geology of China
关键词
VERHULST模型
地下水动态
预测模型
地下水
Verhulst model GM(1,1)-E residual analytical model comprehensive model groundwater regime
