摘要
本文基于1980～2007年北京的进口贸易和GDP的数据,利用EViews 6.0软件,采用协整检验、Granger因果检验、向量自回归模型等方法来研究北京市的进口贸易对经济增长的影响,结果表明北京市的进口贸易能够推动本市经济增长。因此,制定合理的进口贸易政策,大力发展进口贸易,是促进北京市经济增长的有效途径之一。
Based on the data of Beijing＇s import-trade and GDP during 1980-2007, this paper conducts a study on the influence of Beijing＇s import-trade on economic growth by using the software of E-Views 6.0 and the methods of co-integration test, Granger causality test, VAR model and so on. The findings show that Beijing＇s import-trade has an influence on Beijing＇s economic growth. Therefore, it should be one of the effective approaches for Beijing＇s economic growth to make reasonable import policies and to develop import-trade vigorously.
出处
《北京行政学院学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第5期69-73,共5页
Journal of Beijing administration institute
关键词
北京
进口贸易
经济增长
实证研究
Beijing
intport trade
economic growth
empirical study
