摘要
借鉴多部门经济模型的基本思想,测算了黑龙江省1992-2006年农业产业结构变动对农业经济增长的贡献。研究表明考察期间内农业经济增长的4.92%可以由产业结构变动来解释;产业结构变动对区域农业经济增长的贡献具有波动性、阶段性和周期性等特点,农业经济表现出不稳定性;2004年以后,农业结构趋于平稳,对农业经济增长表现出稳定的正向作用。
Consulting the basic idea of multi - sectoral economic model, through the case study of Heilongiiang Province, authors measured the contributions of change of agricultural industrial structure on agricultural economic growth from 1992 to 2006. The conclusion is that 4. 92% of agricultural economic growth could be explained by change of agricultural industrial structure. The contributions are characterized by shake, different stages and cyclical change and agricultural economy is instable; agricultural industrial structure turns to be stable after 2004, which has a positive impact on agricultural economic growth.
出处
《商业研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第10期138-140,共3页
Commercial Research
基金
黑龙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地重点项目
项目编号:1152Z036
关键词
农业产业结构
农业经济增长
灰色关联度
agricultural industrial structure
agricultural economic growth
gray correlation degree