摘要
发达国家工业化过程表明,金属消费量与经济发展密切相关。依据金属消费量和金属消费强度模型,本文提出将工业化阶段分为发展期和成熟期,并以铜为例,对中、日两国铜消费量、GDP及人口的历史数据进行了对比分析。分析结果表明,目前中国处于工业化发展期,还未达到日本在1973年开始的工业化成熟期;与GDP增长速度相比,近一段时间内中国铜消费增长率还将快速增长。
The industrialization processes of developed countries have demonstrated that there was close relationship between the economic growth and metal consumption. According to the models of consumption of metals and consumption intensity of metals, we proposed that the industrialization phase be divided into the stages of expansion and mature. As an example, the historical data of the copper consumption, GDP and population in China and Japan were compared, and the results show that China is being in the expansion stage of industrialization and has not reached the industrialization mature stage which Japan started in 1973. The increase rate of copper consumption in China will grow faster than that of GDP in the near future.
出处
《金属世界》
2009年第C00期149-152,共4页
Metal World
关键词
铜消费量
国内生产总值
历史数据
对比研究
copper consumption
gross domestic product
historical data
comparative study