摘要
采用产业经济学、制度经济学、计量经济学、统计学等相关方法和技术,对青海省1949—2007年产业结构演进的特征进行了定量评价与分析.运用偏离-份额分析法(SSM)计算了1978—1987年、1988—1997年和1998—2007年3个代表时段产业结构演进的数量特征,分析了产业结构发展现状和竞争能力.结果表明:①1949—2007年,青海省产业结构演变总趋势是:一产比重持续下降,二产比重持续上升,产业结构不断趋向优化,产业结构转换方向合理;②近10多年来,特别是1998年以来,青海省经济增长中的结构效应有所改善,产业竞争力有所增强,经济增长主要依靠迅速发展的第二产业推动.但青海省当前的产业结构水平与全国相比仍有很大差距,产业关联度低,3次产业之间及其内部结构有待于进一步优化.
Based on use of the correlative methods in industrial economy, econometrics and statistics, Qinghai＇s industrial structure evolution from 1949 to 2007 is quantificationally estimated. The quantitative characteristics of the internal structure evolution in the three typical periods of 1978-1987, 1988-1997 and 1998-2007 are analysed by using the SSM method. The results are as follows. （1） From 1949 to 2007, the proportion of the primary industry＇s output value has been constantly on the decrease, and secondary industry＇s output value has been sustained growth during the periods. The industrial structure in Qinghai Province has become more and more rationalized and advanced with each passing day. （2） The major problems of current Qinghai industrial structure is the degree of correlation among different industries is low, their development is stripped by each other, and the mutual influential power among the industries is relatively weak, the industrial chain is loose and short, and the linking relation is fragile.
出处
《西北师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
北大核心
2009年第3期105-110,共6页
Journal of Northwest Normal University(Natural Science)
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(40771054)
关键词
产业结构
偏离-份额分析法
青海省
industrial structure
shift-share method
Qinghai Province
