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北约扩大及其前景分析

NATO Expansion and Its Future
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摘要 北约自1949年成立以来,历时60年,冷战时期的40多年里由成立之初的12国增加到16国,冷战后历经三轮扩大,由16国激增到28国,从而极大地改变了欧亚大陆的地缘政治格局,而这种扩大的趋势并未停止。北约扩大可确保北约盟主美国掌控欧亚大陆的主导权不受挑战,同时也将受到欧亚大陆诸大国的反对和制衡。未来北约扩大的方向和进程,将主要取决于美国与欧亚大陆各大国之间的战略博弈的结果。 Sixty-years have passed since the formation of NATO in 1949. In the 40-odd years during the Cold War period, its member countries grew to 16 from 12 at initial stage. Three rounds of expansion after the end of the Cold War made that number to 28, thus greatly changing the geopolitical setup in the Eurasian continent, and the expansion itself has not been halted yet. The expansion could ensure that the U.S., the leader of the alliance, would not be challenged as to its role of controlling the Eurasian continent, but at the same time it will be opposed and constrained by other big powers in the Eurasian continent. In the future, the direction and process of NATO’s expansion will be largely determined by the outcome of the strategic gamesmanship between the U.S. and other big powers in that continent.
作者 贾春阳 陈佳
出处 《和平与发展》 CSSCI 2009年第4期53-56,共4页 Peace and Development
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