摘要
服务贸易正成为全球经济竞争的重点。本文分析了金融和贸易的相互影响机制,运用协整和格兰杰因果检验方法,研究了我国金融发展和服务贸易的关系,结论表明:二者间存在长期均衡的稳定关系,金融发展效率对服务贸易的发展起到了促进作用;仅服务贸易是金融发展的Granger原因。最后从金融支持产业结构升级的角度,提出金融发展促进服务贸易的政策建议。
Service has become the focus in world economic competition. This paper analyses the connection between financial and trade, and researches the relationship between financial development and service trade using Co-integration and Granger test. The conclusion shows that there are long equilibria and stable relationship. Financial development efficiency will promote the service trade, and only service trade is the Granger resulst to financial development. Finally, from the angle of industrial structure upgrading supporting by financial, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on ways financial development promoting service trade.
出处
《金融发展研究》
2009年第5期12-16,共5页
Journal Of Financial Development Research
关键词
金融发展
服务贸易
产业结构
financial development, service trade, industrial structure
