摘要
德尔菲法又称专家调查法或专家咨询法，将其引入公安情报学中，对于事关公安工作长远的、战略的、宏观的问题进行预测和评价，对提高公安情报成果质量、提升情报工作水平具有重要意义。试从德尔菲法的定义、由来、特点、程序等基本原理入手，阐明该方法在公安情报学中的应用技巧，同时指出使用该方法应注意的事项以及其自身存在的不足。
Delphi＇ s approach, also termed as expert consultant approach, is of great significance to enhance the quality of the intelligence of public security concerning the prediction and evaluation of long - term, strategical and general issues. This paper explains the application of some practical techniques of Delphi＇ s approach in the intelligence of the public security in terms of the definition, the origin, the characteristics and process of Delphi＇ s approach.
出处
《武警学院学报》
2009年第5期11-13,共3页
Journal of the Armed Police Academy
关键词
德尔菲法
专家
调查
公安情报
Delphi＇ s approach
experts
investigation
intelligence of public security
