摘要
本文分别采用指数函数曲线预测模型、灰色简单预测模型和多元线性回归的一般模型预测安徽旅游人数,依据三种方法预测结果的加权平均数,预测了安徽道路旅游客运车辆需求量,为道路旅游客运体系的建立,能够提供科学的决策依据。
This article has adopted exponential function curve model, a simple gray prediction model and multiple linear regression models to predict the general number of Anhui tourism, and forecast Anhui road travel demand for passenger vehides based on the outcome of the weighted average of three methods of forecasting. The number of vehicles can provide a scientific basis for decision-making for road travel passenger transport system.
出处
《中国市场》
2009年第10期130-134,149,共6页
China Market
关键词
旅游人数
车辆数
预测
tourism
the number of vehicles
forecast
