摘要
基于新近发展出的回归迁移经济学理论,本文就中国学生的回国意愿之影响因素进行了实证研究。研究发现:(1)超过70%有留学意愿的中学生打算学成后10年回国。中国学生具有较强的在国外居住一段时间但不愿长期居住的倾向。(2)国内外预期收入对于个人回国意愿影响是两种具有完全不同性质的影响。(3)个人国外预期收入与回国意愿之间存在显著的U状变动关系,这意味着以往以收入差异或相对工资作为模型自变量的经验研究很可能高估或低估了国内外预期收入对于个人回国意愿的影响。
Based on the New Economics of Return Migration, the paper presents an empirical investigation on determinants of the return intention of Chinese students. Our major findings include：（1） more than 70% of those intend to study abroad want to return within 10 years after their graduation. Chinese students have strong tendencies to stay abroad for some period after finishing their overseas education, but are unwilling to reside abroad permanently; （2） Chinese students expected incomes in host and home countries have totally different effects on their return intention; （3） there is a significant U-shaped relationship between the return odds of Chinese students and their expected income in the host country. Previous studies that took the income differential or relative wage as explanatory variables may overestimate or under-estimate the effects of incomes in the host and home country.
出处
《高等教育研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第4期55-67,共13页
Journal of Higher Education
基金
香港研究资助局项目(CUHK4720/06H)
关键词
回国意愿
国内预期收入
国外预期收入
新回归迁移经济学
returning intention
expected income in the home country
expected income in the host country
the New Economics of Return Migration
