摘要
近年,俄罗斯主要通过4条途径向东亚国家输送原油。由于这4条途径的油源地及输送方式不同,因此最终的交易价格也不相同。笔者选取2条途径——用铁路通过满洲里向中国输油和用油轮从萨哈林岛向日本和韩国输油——的贸易价格与俄罗斯对欧洲的离岸价格及中东原油对东亚国家的到岸价格进行比较分析,揭示俄罗斯原油在东亚石油市场的价格现状。本文还对通过东西伯利亚—太平洋管道的出口原油的价格作出预测,指出它的价格将高于目前中俄铁路原油贸易价格和同品质的中东原油价格。
In recent years, Russia mainly transports crude oil to East Asian countries through four channels. The final transaction prices are not the same as a result of oil source regions and transportation means by these four different channels. Thus the author selects two ways---the trade price of transporting oil to China by railway through Manchuria and transporting oil to Japan and South Korea by oil ship from the Sakhalin Island - Russia＇s FOB for Europe and CIF of Middle East＇s crude oil for East Asian countries and makes comparative analysis between these two ways, revealing the current price situation of Russian crude oil in the East Asia oil market. This article also predicts the prices of export crude oil through Eastern Siberia - Pacific Ocean pipeline and points out that its prices will exceed current Sino-Russian railway crude oil trade prices and those of the same quality in the Middle East.
出处
《俄罗斯研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第1期63-73,共11页
Russian Studies
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大研究项目“中俄石油合作研究”(项目批准号:05JJDGJW004)的阶段性成果。
