摘要
利用社会经济统计数据对我国汽油市场的未来供求状况进行实证考察;借助vensim软件分析生物燃料乙醇发展对我国能源安全问题和经济可持续增长的影响。研究结果表明,在未来我国汽油供给日趋紧张的形势下,生物燃料乙醇发展将对缓解汽油需求瓶颈和保障经济可持续发展起到一定的作用,但在我国能源安全问题的解决上作用甚微。
There are relatively fewer studies for the influence of the development of bioethanol on sustainable growth in the national economy. First, this paper is to provide the empirical investigation of supply and demand of China＇s petrol market in the future based on unique set of socio-economic data; on this basis, this paper continue to discuss the impact of the development of bioethanol on China＇s energy security and sustainable economic growth. The results of this study shows that China＇s gasoline supply will be in the coming increasingly tense situation, so the development of bioethanol will ease the bottleneck of demand of gasoline and then protect the sustainable development of national economy, but have little effect on the settlement in China＇s energy security issues.
出处
《林业经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第3期39-45,共7页
Forestry Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金(70741029)
教育部2008年度人文社会科学一般项目
