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高价值弹药引信小子样贝叶斯可靠性评估方法 被引量:6

A Bayes Method of Small Sample Reliability Evaluation for High-valued Ammunition Fuzes
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摘要 针对高价值弹药引信利用全弹飞行试验验证其可靠性成本过高的问题,提出用卡方拟合优度法确定继承因子。以混合Beta分布为先验分布,得到了评估引信可靠性的Bayes方法,该法解决了模拟试验数据与靶试数据融合问题。以国外某引信为应用背景进行了可靠性评估,证明该法比经典方法减少1/3的靶场试验量。 In view of the high cost for verifying the reliability of high-valued ammunition fuzes with complete-round flight test,it is proposed to determine inheritance factor by chi-square goodness-of-fit.A Bayes method of reliability evaluation for fuzes is put forward based on mixed beta distribution as the prior distribution,which solves the problem of data fusion between simulation and field test.Reliability of a certain foreign fuze is estimated with the given method,showing that the specimens using in the field test are one-third fewer than the specimens with the typical method.
出处 《探测与控制学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2009年第1期57-60,63,共5页 Journal of Detection & Control
关键词 引信 小子样 可靠性评估 继承因子 BETA分布 BAYES方法 fuze small sample reliability evaluation inheritance factor beta distribution Bayes method
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