摘要
本文运用贸易政治经济学的分析框架，对2000年美国国会投票表决是否给予中国永久性正常贸易关系（PNTR）地位这一事件进行经验检验，以此来分析国会议员的投票行为（直接决定了对华贸易政策的形成）受哪些因素影响，并指出这些影响因素的重要程度。通过分析，我们得出如下结论：美国对华贸易政策是政府和利益集团共同作用的均衡结果，议员的个人因素在政策的决策过程中几乎不能发生任何作用，经典贸易模型所预测的不同群体对贸易自由化的态度不能完全被议案的投票结果所证实。
In this paper we conduct an empirical test on the votes in U. S. congress＇ decision on whether to grant China the PNTR status in 2000, under a framework of political economy of trade policy. Our focus is to analyze which factors affecting the congressional members＇ voting behavior and to find out the magnitudes of these factors＇ influences. We find that the voting result is the equilibrated outcome of interactions between the government and interest groups. However, legislators＇ individual factors are not important determinants. In addition, we do not find evidence supporting the predictions of the classical trade models on which groups in the U. S. would support trade liberalization.
出处
《经济学（季刊）》
2009年第1期375-396,共22页
China Economic Quarterly
基金
国家社科基金项目“中美经济贸易依存度对中美双边关系的影响和制约研究”(项目号05BGJ006)的阶段性成果
