摘要
美国大选往往是美国新一届政府政策走向的风向标。大选期间,以总统候选人为核心的外交智囊班底的政策理念和主张通常会在该候选人赢得大选之后落实为他执政的新一届政府的外交政策实践。本文拟通过考察奥巴马和他的竞选外交智囊团的对华政策主张与立场,对其步入执政期之后的对华政策走向给予推测。美国当前面临的"核心问题"与奥巴马的外交智囊团将决定新一届美国政府的对华政策走向,"延续、合作、摩擦"为其特色,短期有所调整,但中长期会回归理性与务实。
The U.S. president-election is often seen as the U.S. new government＇s policy vane. The ideas and statements from the presidential candidate and his foreign-policy brain trust will be mostly transformed into the new government＇s foreign policy. Based on an analysis on the ideas and statements proposed by the winner of the 2008 U.S. Presidential Campaign Obama and his foreign-policy brain trust, this article focuses on speculating the tendency of the next U.S. government＇s foreign policy to China which is decided by U.S. internal core issues and the brain trust team. It will be characterized by continuity, cooperation and divergecy and will fluctuate shortly after Obama＇s initial stage, but will return to a rational and pragmatic position in the long run.
出处
《上海商学院学报》
2009年第1期24-28,共5页
Business Economic Review
关键词
奥巴马
智囊团
美国对华政策
金融危机
Obama, brain trust, U.S. foreign policy to China, U.S. diplomacy
