摘要
人均GDP是人们了解和把握一个国家或地区宏观经济运行状况的有效工具.本文在介绍时间序列模型的基础上,结合1952-2006年的中国人均GDP数据值,应用SPSS软件对数据进行了分析,建立了中国人均GDP的时间序列模型.文章详细介绍了模型建立的整个过程,并由此模型对中国2007-2010年中国人均GDP的数值进行了预测.这对我们从宏观上了解中国经济的发展状况,为国家制定科学合理的经济发展战略具有重要意义.
Per person GDP is an efficient tool to know and hold macroscopically economics status of a country or area. Based on introducing time series model, combined per Chinese GDP data from 1952 to 2006, the paper applies SPSS to analyzing data and constituted time series model. The article particularly introduces whole process of constituting model and forecasts per Chinese GDP data from 2007 to 2010. This has important meaning for us to know developing status of Chinese economy, to institute scientific and reasonable economic development strategy for our country.
出处
《西南民族大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
2008年第6期1162-1167,共6页
Journal of Southwest Minzu University(Natural Science Edition)