摘要
本文利用协整检验考察我国环保投资总额和相应年份GDP(选用GDP作为国民经济变量)是否具有长期稳定的均衡关系;利用向量误差模型研究GDP和环保投资的长期均衡关系以及环保投资的短期波动对GDP波动的影响。同时,利用格兰杰因果检验对我国环保投资与国民经济发展的因果关系进行检测。从实证结果来看,环保投资从短期和长期能够拉动我国经济的发展。我国GDP在长期不是引起环保投资的原因。因此,必须建立市场化的环保投融资体制。这为后续对环保投融资体制改革的研究奠定了基础,并为政府决策提供了理论支撑。
In this article, the total amount of China＇s EPI and the corresponding years＇GDP（GDP is selected as a variable of national economy） from1985 to 2005 are selected and cointegration is used to examine whether there is a long-term and stable equilibrium between EPI and GD.P. ECM is used to observe the impacts of this equilibrium and the short term fluctuations of EPI on GDP＇s changes, while using Granger test to check the causality between EPI and economic development. Through in-depth analysis, a series of conclusions and the corresponding proposals are put forward. Thus, the foundation for follow-up study on investment and financing system reform in environmental protection is laid and the theoretical support is provided for Government＇ s decision- makings.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2008年第21期157-162,共6页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
中国海洋大学文科发展基金项目"环保产业投融资机制研究"(H06YB07)阶段性成果。
